A Look Ahead (Congress/Senate Primaries-Special Election)

By dld1717 Posted in Archived — Comments (8) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Tuesday marks a Special Election in Mississippi in which the Republicans could lose a third one in matter of a weeks. The date also marks primaries in Kentucky, W Virginia, and Oregon which will determine which Dem faces Senator Smith and Senator McConnell and whom the Republicans will choose as their nominee in the open seat in Oregon as well as some other races to watch

MS 1 (R) Special Election

Greg Davis (R) - Southaven Mayor, Ex-State Rep. & Civil Engineer
Travis Childers (D) - Prentiss County Chancery Clerk & Businessman

US Senate Races

Kentucky Mitch McConnell (R)

Daniel Essek (R) - Truck Driver
Mike Cassaro (D) - Physician & Attorney
Greg Fischer (D) - Businessman
Bruce Lunsford (D) - Health Care Executive, Ex-State Commerce Secrerary & '03/'07 Governor Candidate
James Rice (D)
Ken Stepp (D) - Attorney, Navy Veteran & '06 US Rep. Nominee
David Williams (D) - Retiree & Frequent Candidate
David Wylie (D) - Ex-Postal Worker & Ex-State Deaf and Hard of Hearing Commission Member

Lunsford/Fisher is considered front runner

Oregon Gordon Smith (R)

Pavel Goberman (D) - Fitness Instructor, Machinist & Frequent Candidate
David Loera (D) - Retired Mental Health Counselor
Jeff Merkley (D) - State House Speaker, Ex-Non Profit Group Executive & Ex-Congressional Budget Analyst
Candy Neville (D) - Realtor & Peace Activist
Steve Novick (D) - Attorney, Ex-State Senate Aide & Democratic Activist
Roger Obrist (D) - Retired Construction Worker & Frequent Candidate

House Primaries

OR 5 Hooley (D) Open Seat

Andy Foster (D) - Businessman & Graduate Student
Steve Marks (D) - Ex-Gubernatorial Chief of Staff
Nancy Moran (D) - Retired Social Worker
Richard Nathe (D) - Retired State Employee
Kurt Schrader (D) - State Sen., Ex-State Rep., Veterinarian & Farmer

Schrader and Marks are very close in polls

Mike Erickson (R) - Transportation Services Executive & '06 Nominee
Kevin Mannix (R) - Ex-State GOP Chair, Ex-State Sen., Attorney & Frequent Candidate

Will be close primary and it appears to have turned nasty and Erickson is pumping a lot of his own money into race

KY 2 Lewis (R) Open Seat

Dems will settle who faces Republican nominee State Senator Gruthie

David Boswell (D) - State Sen., Ex-State Agriculture Commissioner, Ex-State Rep. & '87 Lt. Governor Candidate
Reid Haire (D) - Daviess County Judge-Executive

KY 3 Yarmuth (D)

Fmr Congresswoman Northup will win but it will by what margin

Bob DeVore Jr. (R) - UPS Employee
Corley Everett (R) - Property Manager, Ex-Louisville Council Aide & Frequent Candidate
Anne Northup (R) - Ex-Congresswoman, Ex-State Rep. & '07 Governor Candidate

Capito WV 2 (R)

Dems will settle on who takes on Captio (it also appears OT that the statewide office of Sec of State the Republicans will lose and thus Capito will be only federal or statewide elected Republican)

Anne Barth (D) - Ex-State Dir. for US Sen. Byrd
Thornton Cooper (D) - Attorney & Ex-State Public Service Commission Aide
Richie Robb (D) - Ex-South Charleston Mayor, Vietnam Veteran, '06 Candidate & '04 Governor Candidate

Thanks for the Post by Whitehorse

Do we have any polling from MS (1)?

Reply To This — User Info — #2

We actually have the results by dld1717

We actually have the results of the first race only few weeks ago in which Childers scored 49% of the vote and came very close of winning the race outright (in fact a Green candidate and Dem on ballot each received 1% each so it would in essence equal 51% for Dem/liberal leaning candidate) but MS law requires a runoff and so on Tuesday that is what we have and only the 2 candidates on the ballot.

I would love to hear from any MS posters to tell us what the on the ground race looks like

Reply To This — User Info — #3

In special elections, it by SanDiego92108

In special elections, it comes down to the "quality" of the nominee. In HR elections in Ill. and La., we nominated lousy candidates and lost. Big surprise. Same may happen in MS-01.

With BHO heading the Dem. ticket in Nov., expect different results, esp. in the south.

Reply To This — User Info — #4

SD, that's a logical fallacy by Adam C

You're defining when we lose then the candidate was bad. Our candidate in this race is not a bad one. And this district is more Republican (R+10) than the two we already lost (R+4, R+6).

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Reply To This — User Info — #5

Actually SD is saying that the tops of the tickets will by JSobieski

matter in a general election (as opposed to a special election) and as a result, Obama will be a drag later that current special election candidates are not hampered by.

Interesting theory. Makes sense. Hope its true.

Reply To This — User Info — #6

J by Adam C

I agree with that part of the comment. It was the first line "In special elections, it comes down to the "quality" of the nominee." that I think is a cop out. Rs have a "quality" nominee in MS-01 and may still lose the district in the special election.

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Reply To This — User Info — #7

There is big difference here by dld1717

There is big difference here we actually have a Republican nominee who has been elected as a official already (Mayor and State Rep) and he still may lose

Reply To This — User Info — #8

Redstate