Another Republican Special Election Congress Soon
By dld1717 Posted in Archived — Comments (3) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Several top New York Republicans tell WNBC-TV that Rep. Vito Fossella's (R-NY) resignation will come very soon.
"There was political concern about how best to preserve the seat for the Republicans -- questions about immediate resignation versus finishing out his term and retiring -- but the calculation is there's nothing to be gained from Fossella sticking around. While Staten Island Republicans believe Fossella could at least serve out his term (the rest of the year) national Republicans want him gone. Now."
No real surprise here: CQ Politics changes the rating on Fossella's NY-13 seat from Safe Republican to No Clear Favorite.
The Republicans have a deep bench in the district and Staten Island and parts of Brooklyn; its like another world in NYC politics (it voted for Bush, is run by many Republicans, and is very Italian)
Hopefully, Republicans can have a unified candidate and avoid a bitter primary
On side note as someone who lives in NYC I can say I found Fossella to be a standup guy and a man who could of had a bright political future and held the seat for another 50 years if he chose to.
Bush lost it to Gore and won it against Kerry (9/11 voters). Vito won 57-43 as an entrenched incumbent in 2006. It's a D+1 district. It's definitely a "no clear favorite."
If Rs are losing R+4 and R+6 districts (and perhaps a R+10 district this week), this district is definitely worrisome.
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But this is probably going to mean we lose the seat. The Democrat challenger is raising tons of cash and will now mop up in the Brooklyn part of the District. Republicans are not nearly as monolithic in Staten Island as people think. We've got only 1 of 4 Assembly seats (and the incumbent only won the seat in 2006) and 1 of 2 Senate seats (also elected in 2006). We're probably looking at 1 of the 2 Republican City Councilmen (the third one is a Democrat) making the run (the Boro Pres is rather old - 77 - to be making a run, and I'm not sure that the DA will be interested).
We're definitely starting in the hole, and the calling this a toss-up is probably generous to us - I'd probably lean this to the Democrats.
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Even though this is a strong R district, it is sure to help the "culture of corruption" meme stick in voters minds.
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