Redstate

The story itself says both "adults" and "voters." They refer to the 1,000+ adults surveyed, then, at the end:

Included were interviews with 457 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.6 points, and 346 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.3 points.

Don't know which they want.

McCain is behind both Ds in almost every head-to-head national poll.

______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard

There is a big difference between 1% or 2% and 9%.

...a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right...

---Thomas Paine---

I'll take McCain leading in the state-by-state electoral vote map (as done by theoneandonlyflynn) over national polls.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

Democrats ahead 260 to 240 in the electoral college. In the states they list as a "toss up", they actually show Democrats ahead in Colorado and McCain in the rest which would result in a 269 to 269 tie, meaning the Democratic House and Senate would elect a Democrat P and VP.

Charlie Hall

....or "McCain v. Hillary"/"McCain v. Obama". There is a HUGE difference.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

Are you certain? I have not done the math in a few cycles, but it is my understanding that if a Presidential election goes to Congress, both the House and Senate will vote by delegations (not as individuals) with each state only worth one vote. Thus California with all its democrat representatives has as much say as Alaska and its one Republican representative.

...a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right...

---Thomas Paine---

I'll just state that I find those maps quite suspect. Mainly because they heavily rely on Rasmussen who does the most state polling (b/c he does robo-polling). And Rasmussen has consistently this year been 3-5 points pro-R compared to all other posters.

Maybe Rasmussen is just smarter than all the other pollsters, or maybe his screen is off. However, I will say that most polls have McCain ahead in FL by a big margin and competitive in MI, OH, and PA against Obama. OTOH, they show Obama with a comfortable lead in MN, WI, WA, OR, NV, and CO.

______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard

As far as I can tell, it is a basket of polls. I don't know the composition, but I didn't know it weights Rasmussen more heavily than others.

Adam C, I appreciate your unflinching pessimism (realism to you, of course). I am under no illusions that will be an easy election. I rate McCain's chances at 55%.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

But I still think the odds are strongly against us whether they're on the same ticket or not.

The best hope we've had, since day one, is that enough Democrats would be just as or more disillusioned with their candidate as Republicans are of our candidate.

Will that happen? I don't know -- maybe. But I wouldn't get too froggy about our prospects just yet. McCain's a problematic candidate on a number of fronts. Fortunately for him, his opponent will be too.

The candidates are too polarizing to run on the same ticket. The good news is, as disgruntled as people (including myself) are with McCain, many (I'd venture to say most) will still vote for him. It's entirely possible that disgruntled hill supporters will turn to McCain, should Barry take the nomination. Or vice versa.

Fred Thompson, 2008

worse than a Hillary/Bayh or an Obama/Bayh ticket. (I'm using Evan Bayh as a generic name because he is generic.) They appeal to different constituencies separately, but they also alienate different constituencies separately. Hillary came into this with the highest negatives of the three "remaining" candidates. Obama, I suspect, ahs moved into the number two negative position. McCain, by appearing to reject personal politics, will only become more likeable to voters.

McCain has ways to beat Hillary, Obama, and Hillary/Obama. (Obama/Hillary would be the toughest ticket to beat, I think. Barry would not be relegated to second place, and Hillary would supposedly give him the 3am gravitas, a la Cheney in '00.)

He is not going to spend four years with Bubba looking over his shoulder and besides, he would need food tasters.
It would be a formidable ticket though.
Aunt Nancy has told them both no, so maybe we shouldn't worry our little minds about it. :>)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Just a typical, small town, white girl...

is something I've talked about myself. If Obama values his life, he will not put Hillary Clinton in line after him for the Presidency. And I'm not even kidding a little.

Fred Thompson, 2008

... I realized how that came off just then... so I should say that WASN'T a threat against Obama. Just an opinion on the moral ineptitude and will to power of HRC.

Fred Thompson, 2008

if he gets elected with her as VP, his life ain't worth a plugged nickle. They will find him rolled up in a carpet in the park just like Vince Foster.

"Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty"
Kyle

they could get creative and dump him in a river instead. But that's the gist of it, yeah.

Fred Thompson, 2008

Secret Service agents. Of course, Bill and Hillary probably still have some loyalty amongst the Arkansas State Troopers.

There'd be no struggle within the Service... they didn't lke Hillary that much.

Fred Thompson, 2008

I'm thinking that the troopers are all tapped out. Kinda like Bill "Judas" Richardson.
Who knows?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Just a typical, small town, white girl...