Pres-MI: Huckabee Ahead... but barely

New (D) Poll Shows Huck Up... and McCain in Third

By Adam C Posted in Comments (20) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Rossman (D) has a new poll out on MI voters.*

Huck 23
Romney 22
McCain 18
Rudy 8

Important things to note about the poll: 1) It's a Democratic polling firm and 2) it was taken before the NH primary. But there is a much better baseline than the old pre-Christmas polls.

*Direct link doesn't work, the poll is in the upper right hand corner.

Fine Print:

This survey was part of the Rossman Group/MIRS/Denno-Noor Quarterly Survey of the Michigan electorate. Six hundred respondents – three hundred Democratic and three hundred Republican Presidential Primary Voters – were surveyed between January 6 and January 7, and the participation was stratified based on census data and past voter behavior. A screen was employed to include only those participants who said they intended on voting, either at the polls or by absentee ballot, in the January 15, 2008 Presidential Primary Election. The margin of error for these ballot tests is plus/minus 5.8 percent.

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MI poll by MOlsen6

This is going to be interesting to follow.

MOlsen6
Proud supporter of McCain '00 and McCain '08

Dr. GS - former Canadian Doctor now in Midwestern US - STRONGLY OPPOSED TO SOCIALIZED MEDICINE - WHY? - CANCER PATIENTS dying on Canadian waiting lists for Chemotherapy / Radiation treatments... US SENATOR Dr. Tom Coburn -FOR McCAIN'S VP - will fix US H

SV Shows McCain ahead by PaConservative

Strategic Vision poll in Michigan

January 4-6
700 likely voters

McCain 29%
Romney 20%
Huckabee 18%
Giuliani 13%
Thompson 5%
Paul 5%

god this is a bad election for the Club for Growth

god this is a bad election for the Club for Growth

Not for nothing, but it's probably helpful to have these guys on board when the general election rolls around - even if it's to rip a hole into the Dem nominee, right?

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

Many Huckafans seem to have this insatiable need to jab Pointy Sticks™ at various members of The Team from time to time.

Some have learned to temper this reflex, mind - but it's still out there among the green.

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

Many may... by PaConservative

but I was sort of lamenting it. Pat Toomey lives just a little ways down the road from me and I very much miss him being our Congressman and look forward to supporting him in the future. I consider him a friend and I'm usually in agreement with him. Huckabee is my last stand. I'm a social conservative first.

Toomey would have been a great Senator - but instead you get stuck with the snarler and Junior the empty suit.

Then again, I'm still jealous. I'd trade either of those dopes for either of mine in an instant.

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

matter of fact by PaConservative

Pat is a constituent of mine (I'm a school board director) and he donated very generously to my campaign.

Pat would be a great Senator but he'd be an even better governor.

My in-laws live in Bucks County - refugees from NE NJ. Be nice to get them a FisCon in Harrisburg.

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

I was in Pennsylvania working for a trade association the final week of the Toomey/Specter race, in support of the good guy. And so all of you are sure, that isn't Arlen Specter. I never had so much fun losing in my life. Pat Toomeny is one of the good guys, and more importantly he is simply an outstanding human being. I have disagreed with the Club in past primaries, and then have been supportive at other times. I think with groups like that you take the good with the bad. I can't wait to stand with them in support of the Republican nominee and am glad overall they are on my side.

"I believe in grace, because I have seen it. In peace, because I have felt it. In forgiveness, because I needed it."

-George W. Bush

agreed...we could use some by PittsburghConservative

agreed...we could use some good men in harrisburg

do you have a link handy?

______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard

Dr. GS - former Canadian Doctor now in Midwestern US - STRONGLY OPPOSED TO SOCIALIZED MEDICINE - WHY? - CANCER PATIENTS dying on Canadian waiting lists for Chemotherapy / Radiation treatments... US SENATOR Dr. Tom Coburn -FOR McCAIN'S VP - will fix US H

Anyone thinks this is actually a good sampling?

It's not bad by Adam C

I'm guessing the MoE is around 5-6% with that for a population of 8 million or so. Random sampling is an impressive little thing.
______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard

that, after all is what 2x30,000 works out to. 300 hundred?

Ooops. My bad. by cordpt

I stand corrected.

I don't recall the name of the organization (should have wrote it down) but tonight I got called by an automated voice poll (which took voice recognition responses).

Asked if I was planning to vote in the GOP Primary. I answered yes. It offered 3 candidate choices - Romney, Huckabee, McCain. Out of that group I selected Romney.

It then asked if "Tax Cuts" or "Life of the unborn" were more important to me. I answered tax cuts. It then went into a short bit about how Romney raised taxes in Massachusetts and Huckabee cut taxes in Arkansas. It asked if this changed my opinion of Romney. I answered No.

Then it asked immigration or [some other issue] was more important to me. I answered immigration. It then gave me a statement regarding Romney creating 'safe havens' for illegals in Mass. and Huckabee being endorsed by the founder of the minutemen.

Then asked a couple of demographic questions and stated it was on behalf of (someone I forgot) and not on behalf of any candidate, spit out a phone number and hung up.

Certainly seemed like a pro-Huckabee push poll to me. Wonder what it would have said if I answered McCain.

 
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