2008 Polls
Posted at 7:29pm on Jun. 20, 2008 Out of Toilet Paper? Use Newsweek Polling Data!
By Ben Domenech
Have you heard? It's over! Barack Obama has a 15 point lead on John McCain! Game over man, game over! You might as well mock up the logo!
Oh, wait. Newsweek surveyed 1014 *adults*.
That's adults, not even Registered Voters, let alone Likely Voters. I wonder how many of them had even heard there was another candidate in the race?
Rasmussen's daily tracking poll questions roughly 3,000 Likely Voters - they've got it at 4 percentage points. USA Today/Gallup has it at 6 points; Fox has it at 4 points. Newsweek's poll isn't even in the Margin of Error for any of these other polls. (Edit: Actually, Gallup has it even closer.)
We're conservationists here, and that's a waste of good paper. Put it to use in your toilet instead.
Posted at 1:03pm on May 14, 2008 Obamomentum, West Virginia Edition
He's Lost That Loving Feeling
By Dan McLaughlin
It's not every day you see the presumptive nominee lose a presidential primary in a swing state by 41 points (by contrast, despite a persistent protest vote faction, McCain hasn't actually lost a primary since Kansas and Louisiana on February 9), but that's exactly what happened to Barack Obama last night in West Virginia, and suggests pretty strongly why his campaign seems to be writing off the state for November.
Anyway, let's update the chart I've been running (last installment here) showing the popular vote trend since Obama's armor started to crack at the beginning of March. Here's the current chart:
| State | Date | Obama | Clinton | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 5/13 | 91,652 | 239,062 | -147,410 |
| Indiana | 5/6 | 630,925 | 645,336 | -14,411 |
| North Carolina | 5/6 | 883,508 | 656,284 | +227,224 |
| Guam | 5/3 | 2,264 | 2,257 | +7 |
| Pennsylvania | 4/22 | 1,046,822 | 1,260,937 | -214,115 |
| Mississippi | 3/11 | 265,502 | 159,221 | +106,281 |
| Wyoming | 3/8 | 5,378 | 3,311 | +2,067 |
| Texas | 3/4 | 1,362,476 | 1,462,734 | -100,258 |
| Ohio | 3/4 | 1,055,769 | 1,259,620 | -203,851 |
| Rhode Island | 3/4 | 75,316 | 108,949 | -33,633 |
| Vermont | 3/4 | 91,901 | 59,806 | +32,095 |
| Total | 5,511,513 | 5,857,517 | -346,004 | |
| Overall% | 48.48% | 51.52% |
Read On - there's much more...
Posted in 2008 | 2008 Polls | Barack Obama | polls | The Best Democratic Primary EVER | West Virginia — Comments (10)/ Email this page » / Read More »
